Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
13%
6.29
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.26
2/X
10%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.06/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.13
-7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
214 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.9 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 Passes 428
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
13.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
12.08.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
02.11.2019 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-3 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
13.04.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
29.09.2018 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-1
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
1.38 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
246 Passes 268
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers and Milton Keynes Dons couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 52% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 48%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.38 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.17 for Milton Keynes Dons.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 36%, draw 24%, Milton Keynes Dons 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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