AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.45
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
16%
4.09
X/2
8%
8.54
X/X
21%
4.16
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
8%
7.48
2/X
6%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.5pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.46/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.40
+17% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 70%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.3 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Salford City
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.24 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
223 Passes 322
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
06.04.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
16.12.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
10.04.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-3 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
12.11.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
1-0
AWAY Salford City
1.16 xG 0.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
169 Passes 237
61% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon edged past Salford City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Wimbledon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 45% of the ball to Salford City's 55%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.16 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Salford City led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 0.80 for Salford City.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Salford City?

AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 42%, draw 33%, Salford City 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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