Doncaster Rovers 1-2 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
21%
4.42
X/2
7%
8.81
X/X
11%
5.28
2/1
10%
22.1
2/2
11%
6.64
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.70/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.43
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
370 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
26.2 Crosses 17.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Grimsby Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 Passes 231
67% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-3 HT 0-3 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
17.02.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-5 HT 1-2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
28.10.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
10.04.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
12.11.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
13.08.2019 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1-2
AWAY Grimsby Town
0.85 xG 0.53
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
301 Passes 160
71% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town edged past Doncaster Rovers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 61% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 39%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 0.85 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 0.83 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Grimsby Town?

Doncaster Rovers 1-2 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 50%, draw 27%, Grimsby Town 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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