Awassa Kenema 2-1 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.80/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.64
-22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +59%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Awassa Kenema
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.01.2025 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
05.05.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-2 HT 1-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
2-1
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema squeezed past Kedus Giorgis 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and on the day Awassa Kenema made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 47% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 53%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Awassa Kenema had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Awassa Kenema and 1.00 for Kedus Giorgis.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Awassa Kenema 2-1 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 35%, draw 34%, Kedus Giorgis 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Awassa Kenema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Awassa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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