Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+11.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 22%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.08/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.42
+65% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
05.05.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-2 HT 1-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-1
AWAY Awassa Kenema
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis and Awassa Kenema shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Kedus Giorgis at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 48% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 52%, shots finished 4-4.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 43%, draw 26%, Awassa Kenema 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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