Mekelakeya 1-1 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

Mekelakeya
1-1
Bahardar
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Etiyopya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Mekelakeya vs Bahardar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.5pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.9pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mekelakeya v Bahardar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 31%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.74/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.50
+68% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +114%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Mekelakeya vs Bahardar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bahardar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
07.03.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahardar Bahardar ETH

Mekelakeya 1-1 Bahardar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
1-1
AWAY Bahardar
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya and Bahardar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 53% of the ball to Bahardar's 47%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?

Mekelakeya 1-1 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 34%, draw 30%, Bahardar 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bahardar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
25 Jan 2025
18:00 Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema Analysis →