Lyon (K) 3-0 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.68/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.79
-40% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
23.4 Crosses 8.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY PSG (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
331 Passes 305
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 PSG (K) PSG (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
03.11.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
17.05.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
28.04.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
20.04.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K
11.02.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
3-0
AWAY PSG (K)
1.35 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
278 Passes 282
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) swept aside PSG (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 50% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 50%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.35 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lyon (K) and 0.83 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Lyon (K) 3-0 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 58%, draw 20%, PSG (K) 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →