Cambuur 1-1 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.88
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
18%
4.19
X/2
7%
11.75
X/X
10%
6.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.95
2/2
8%
8.93
2/X
7%
17.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.95 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.87/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.56
+4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.8 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.88 xG 1.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.03.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
26.11.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
22.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
09.09.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
09.04.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-5 HT 2-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
1-1
AWAY Den Bosch
2.67 xG 0.59
70% Ball Possession 30%
34 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 1
514 Passes 157
81% Pass Accuracy 55%
42 Box Touches 8
40 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur and Den Bosch shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Cambuur carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cambuur had 70% of the ball to Den Bosch's 30%, shots finished 34-5, expected goals 2.67 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cambuur and 1.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Den Bosch?

Cambuur 1-1 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 56%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5
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