Ujpest 2-2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.66/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.83
-6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.8 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 0.31
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
513 Passes 124
87% Pass Accuracy 57%
29 Box Touches 5
42 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
19.10.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
08.05.2015 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-4 HT 1-3 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
24.10.2014 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
2-2
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.23 xG 1.91
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
508 Passes 180
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest and Nyiregyhaza Spartacus couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ujpest had 70% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 30%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.23 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ujpest and 1.00 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Ujpest 2-2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 47%, draw 24%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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