Kecskemeti TE 0-1 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
56%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
57%
Away Win
68%
-11.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 72%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.95/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.82
+5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +92%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
13.1 Crosses 26.9
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.50 xG 1.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
290 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 4-2 HT 3-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
20.10.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-3 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.04.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-2 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
08.12.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
26.08.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 4-1 HT 2-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
08.04.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
0-1
AWAY Puskas FC
0.98 xG 2.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
342 Passes 406
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 36
19 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC nicked a narrow win over Kecskemeti TE 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 47% of the ball to Puskas FC's 53%, shots finished 8-24, expected goals 0.98 to 2.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Puskas FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 2.17 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC?

Kecskemeti TE 0-1 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 23%, draw 21%, Puskas FC 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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