Puskas FC 4-2 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 29% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +3%
2.01/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.52
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
403 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
26.1 Crosses 19.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
292 Passes 253
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-3 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.04.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-2 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
08.12.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
26.08.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 4-1 HT 2-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
08.04.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
08.11.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
4-2
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
2.60 xG 1.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
372 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC got the better of Kecskemeti TE 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puskas FC had 49% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 51%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.60 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Puskas FC and 1.50 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Kecskemeti TE?

Puskas FC 4-2 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 49%, draw 28%, Kecskemeti TE 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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