Kecskemeti TE 0-3 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-11.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 56%
+18% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.01/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.39
+11% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
30.2 Crosses 25.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
253 Passes 292
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-2 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
08.12.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
26.08.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 4-1 HT 2-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
08.04.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
08.11.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
19.08.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC ran out comfortable winners over Kecskemeti TE 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Puskas FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.33 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC?

Kecskemeti TE 0-3 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 33%, draw 26%, Puskas FC 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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