Ferencvaros 2-0 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 20 Oct 2024

Ferencvaros
2-0 HT 1-0
MOL Fehervar
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Ferencvaros vs MOL Fehervar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-10.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ferencvaros v MOL Fehervar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.33/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.25
+3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
500 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 82%
37.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
26.3 Crosses 12.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Ferencvaros vs MOL Fehervar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
3W-2D-1L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 0.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
439 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
12.11.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
06.08.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-5 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
02.04.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
06.11.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
14.08.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 4-0 HT 3-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC

Ferencvaros 2-0 MOL Fehervar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
2-0
AWAY MOL Fehervar
2.09 xG 0.96
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
460 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 22
5 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros saw off MOL Fehervar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 62% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 38%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.09 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.33 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs MOL Fehervar?

Ferencvaros 2-0 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 63%, draw 21%, MOL Fehervar 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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