Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 Györi ETO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.26/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.76
-12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
16.5 Crosses 21.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Györi ETO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Györi ETO nicked a narrow win over Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zalaegerszegi TE at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Györi ETO?

Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 Györi ETO in the Hungary - NB I on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Györi ETO?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 47%, draw 22%, Györi ETO 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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