Ujpest 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.88/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.91
+17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.6 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
08.05.2015 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-4 HT 1-3 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
24.10.2014 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest squeezed past Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ujpest as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Ujpest and 2.00 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Ujpest 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 42%, draw 27%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ujpest) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ujpest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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