Diosgyor 0-2 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 19 Oct 2024

Diosgyor
0-2
MTK Budapest
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diosgyor v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.93/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.38
+5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.8 Crosses 12.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
430 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
16.12.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-3 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.09.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
13.03.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 4-2 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC2
12.09.2022 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
05.03.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC

Diosgyor 0-2 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
0-2
AWAY MTK Budapest
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest beat Diosgyor 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; MTK Budapest found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 52% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 48%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Diosgyor and 1.67 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest?

Diosgyor 0-2 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 36%, draw 28%, MTK Budapest 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Diosgyor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Analysis →
16:00 Debrecen vs Paksi SE Analysis →