Debrecen 0-5 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 19 Oct 2024

Debrecen
0-5 HT 0-3
Paksi SE
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Debrecen vs Paksi SE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
15%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Debrecen v Paksi SE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.19/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.57
-5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.1 Crosses 22.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Debrecen vs Paksi SE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paksi SE
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 Passes 229
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-1 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
12.11.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
27.09.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
06.05.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-0 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
11.02.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 2-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
10.09.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE ran out comfortable winners over Debrecen 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Debrecen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Debrecen and 0.83 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Paksi SE?

Debrecen 0-5 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 44%, draw 25%, Paksi SE 31%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Debrecen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest Analysis →
00:00 Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Analysis →