Lilleström 2-0 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.69
6+ Goals
10%
7.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.37/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.38
-23% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kongsvinger
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
21.09.2020 Lilleström Lilleström 2-0 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
24.08.2020 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-3 HT 0-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
25.02.2019 Lilleström Lilleström 2-1 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger HAZ
04.06.2014 Lilleström Lilleström 4-1 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOK
31.07.2010 Lilleström Lilleström 2-2 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR
14.04.2010 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
2-0
AWAY Kongsvinger
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström saw off Kongsvinger 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lilleström had 52% of the ball to Kongsvinger's 48%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lilleström and 0.67 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Kongsvinger?

Lilleström 2-0 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 47%, draw 25%, Kongsvinger 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✗ BTTS Yes
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