Stabaek 4-0 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.45
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.43
Over 2.5
46%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
2.64
6+ Goals
10%
6.57
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.91 — our 27% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
64%
-21.4pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.9pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.55/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.65
-27% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mjondalen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.65 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
226 Passes 386
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
12.06.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 4-2 HT 2-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
29.10.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
03.07.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-4 HT 1-2 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
21.08.2021 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
28.07.2021 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
4-0
AWAY Mjondalen
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek ran out comfortable winners over Mjondalen 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stabaek as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stabaek had 55% of the ball to Mjondalen's 45%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stabaek and 1.50 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Mjondalen?

Stabaek 4-0 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 43%, draw 30%, Mjondalen 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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