Aalesund 2-0 Hodd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

Aalesund
2-0 HT 0-0
Hodd
📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2025

Aalesund vs Hodd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.1pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalesund v Hodd — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +28%
2.39/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.08
+15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +107%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Aalesund vs Hodd Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hodd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Hodd Hodd 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
22.06.2022 Hodd Hodd 0-3 HT 0-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
03.06.2015 Hodd Hodd 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
25.05.2011 Hodd Hodd 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
09.07.2008 Hodd Hodd 1-2 HT 0-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
15.06.2005 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 3-1 Hodd Hodd NOK
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Hodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund saw off Hodd 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aalesund and 0.83 for Hodd.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Hodd?

Aalesund 2-0 Hodd in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Hodd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 55%, draw 28%, Hodd 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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