Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Atletico v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
3-2
HT 2-1
Alianza Atletico
PER
Alianza Atletico 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico squeezed past Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alianza Atletico had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 45%, shots finished 12-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alianza Atletico and 0.75 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Alianza Atletico 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 46%, draw 27%, Deportivo Garcilaso 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.