Alverca 2-1 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
77%
1.3
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.23
Over
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
42%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Alverca The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense The Market 14%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.59 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.70
0.84 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.27
Great Attack Strength Bad
Defense Strength Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Portimonense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.16
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
19 Corners 1
382 Passes 167
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
47 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Portimonense Portimonense 1-0 HT 0-0 Alverca Alverca POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
2 - 1
AWAY Portimonense
1.96 xG 0.74
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
570 Passes 174
93% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Alverca vs Portimonense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alverca came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Portimonense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (62%) landed.

On the day, Alverca had 72% of the ball to Portimonense's 28%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.96 to 0.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alverca's control.

Alverca vs Portimonense Result & Final Score

Alverca 2 - 1 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alverca vs Portimonense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Alverca 77%, draw 14%, Portimonense 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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