Uniao De Leiria 0-2 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away Pick
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.95
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
47%
4-5
23%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
2%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Uniao De Leiria The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela The Market 57%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
0.91 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.85
1.45 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
Bad Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Bad
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Tondela
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.50 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
291 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Tondela Tondela 1-4 HT 0-2 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
02.08.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-1 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela HAZ
24.02.2024 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
01.10.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-2 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
0 - 2
AWAY Tondela
0.68 xG 1.73
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
376 Passes 233
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Uniao De Leiria vs Tondela
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tondela put daylight between themselves and Uniao De Leiria 2-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tondela as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Uniao De Leiria had 59% of the ball to Tondela's 41%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.68 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.25 for Tondela.

Uniao De Leiria vs Tondela Result & Final Score

Uniao De Leiria 0 - 2 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Uniao De Leiria vs Tondela Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 21%, draw 25%, Tondela 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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