Rio Ave 1-1 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 May 2025

Rio Ave
1-1 HT 1-1
Gil Vicente
📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.99
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
14%
6.15
X/2
12%
5.8
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.63
2/X
10%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rio Ave v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +9%
1.33/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.20
+15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.0 Crosses 16.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 1.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
320 Passes 406
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.01.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
06.04.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 3-0 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
12.11.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
12.03.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-1 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
17.09.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-2 HT 0-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
03.04.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-2 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR

Rio Ave 1-1 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave
1-1
AWAY Gil Vicente
0.87 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
363 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Rio Ave and Gil Vicente shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Portugal - Premier League on 16 May 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rio Ave had 54% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 46%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.87 to 0.90.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rio Ave and 1.17 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente?

Rio Ave 1-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 35%, draw 31%, Gil Vicente 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rio Ave), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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