Puchov 3-1 Petrzalka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puchov EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrzalka EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.74/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.68
+2% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puchov
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Petrzalka
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Petrzalka Petrzalka 1-2 HT 0-2 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
24.03.2024 Petrzalka Petrzalka 4-2 HT 2-1 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
02.09.2023 Puchov Puchov 5-0 HT 3-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
30.10.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 1-0 HT 1-0 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
08.05.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 3-1 HT 1-1 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
16.10.2021 Puchov Puchov 1-1 HT 0-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puchov
3-1
AWAY Petrzalka
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puchov vs Petrzalka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puchov saw off Petrzalka 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Puchov as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Puchov had 54% of the ball to Petrzalka's 46%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrzalka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Puchov and 1.67 for Petrzalka.

What was the final score of Puchov vs Petrzalka?

Puchov 3-1 Petrzalka in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puchov vs Petrzalka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puchov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Puchov 47%, draw 26%, Petrzalka 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puchov), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puchov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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