Samorin 0-1 Povazska Bystrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samorin EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Povazska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.44/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.07
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
293 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samorin
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Povazska Bystrica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 4-3 HT 2-2 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
12.11.2023 Samorin Samorin 2-3 HT 2-1 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
29.07.2023 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 2-2 HT 1-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
26.02.2023 Samorin Samorin 0-0 HT 0-0 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
30.07.2022 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 2-3 HT 2-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samorin
0-1
AWAY Povazska Bystrica
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samorin vs Povazska Bystrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Povazska Bystrica edged past Samorin 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Povazska Bystrica made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samorin had 57% of the ball to Povazska Bystrica's 43%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Povazska Bystrica led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Samorin and 2.20 for Povazska Bystrica.

What was the final score of Samorin vs Povazska Bystrica?

Samorin 0-1 Povazska Bystrica in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samorin vs Povazska Bystrica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Povazska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Samorin 33%, draw 30%, Povazska Bystrica 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Povazska Bystrica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Povazska Bystrica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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