Al Fateh vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Fateh v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Fateh vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
3-1
HT 1-1
Al Fateh
SAKK
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Fateh
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
Al Fateh 3-4 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Fateh 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Fateh had 34% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 66%, shots finished 20-30, expected goals 1.87 to 3.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Fateh and 3.17 for Al Hilal Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Al Fateh 3-4 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 26%, draw 21%, Al Hilal Riyadh 53%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.