Al Nassr 1-1 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.2pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.9pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +20%
2.27/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.77
+9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +64%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
412 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 80%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
21.9 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.12 xG 1.05
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
488 Passes 347
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2025 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
29.10.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SAKK
14.08.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUSK
30.12.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
18.08.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
17.02.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
1-1
AWAY Al Taawon
1.90 xG 0.62
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
460 Passes 244
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
44 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr and Al Taawon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Nassr at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Nassr had 63% of the ball to Al Taawon's 37%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.90 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Nassr and 1.00 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Taawon?

Al Nassr 1-1 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 58%, draw 23%, Al Taawon 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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