Al Nassr vs Al Taawon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Taawon — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Taawon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-2
Al Nassr
SUUD
0-2
HT 0-1
Al Taawon
SUUD
2-1
HT 1-0
Al Taawon
SUUD
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
Al Nassr 0-1 Al Taawon — Actual Match Statistics
Al Taawon edged past Al Nassr 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Nassr at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Nassr had 64% of the ball to Al Taawon's 36%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.49 to 0.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Nassr.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Nassr and 0.83 for Al Taawon.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Taawon?
Al Nassr 0-1 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Taawon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 54%, draw 23%, Al Taawon 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.