29/10/2024
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Al Fayha vs Al Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
26%
Draw
21%
26%
Away Win
16%
48%
Under 2.5
44%
52%
Over 2.5
56%
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
48%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Fayha v Al Arabi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Fayha
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Arabi
EU Bookmakers 20%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+28% /
+28%
2.94/0.35
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.10/1.15
+75%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+97%
/
+27%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
422 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 75%
38.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.6
13.0
Crosses
7.9
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
POST-MATCH
Al Fayha vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Fayha edged past Al Arabi 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Fayha as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Arabi?
Al Fayha 1-0 Al Arabi in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Arabi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 48%, draw 26%, Al Arabi 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fayha) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Fayha)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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SAKK
More Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey
29 Oct 2024