Al Taawon 1-1 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 70%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.03/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.11
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -6%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
13.1 Crosses 20.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 2.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
339 Passes 454
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SAKK
14.08.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUSK
30.12.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
18.08.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
17.02.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
03.09.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
1-1
AWAY Al Nassr
0.16 xG 1.08
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
321 Passes 611
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
2 Box Touches 41
3 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon and Al Nassr shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nassr at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Taawon had 36% of the ball to Al Nassr's 64%, shots finished 3-19, expected goals 0.16 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Taawon and 1.33 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Nassr?

Al Taawon 1-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 22%, draw 24%, Al Nassr 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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