Al Wehda 0-3 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
8.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 26% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.9pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 62%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.17/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.12
+34% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +92%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 83%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
17.8 Crosses 23.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.09 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 1-2 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SAKK
31.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.10.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-1 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
11.05.2019 Al Wehda Al Wehda 4-0 HT 2-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
06.10.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
04.05.2017 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
0-3
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
0.79 xG 3.90
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 31
1 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 11
310 Passes 467
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 52
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah cruised past Al Wehda 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 41% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 59%, shots finished 6-31, expected goals 0.79 to 3.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wehda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Wehda and 1.33 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Wehda 0-3 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 25%, draw 28%, Al-Qadsiah 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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