London City (K) 2-1 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME London City (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.37/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.79
-13% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.2 Crosses 14.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME London City (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
311 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2025 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 London City (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME London City (K)
2-1
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH London City (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

London City (K) edged past Aston Villa (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had London City (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, London City (K) had 53% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 47%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of London City (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

London City (K) 2-1 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for London City (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a London City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split London City (K) 47%, draw 26%, Aston Villa (K) 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (London City (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (London City (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
16 May 2026
15:00 Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Analysis →
15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Analysis →
15:00 Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K) Analysis →