Liverpool (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 May 2026

Liverpool (K)
1-3 HT 0-3
Arsenal (K)
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
7.78
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
72%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
48%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
10%
-0.3pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
72%
Away Win
71%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
0.98/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.54
+52% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 84%
11.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.5
10.5 Crosses 25.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.47 xG 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
220 Passes 518
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 42
6 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.12.2025 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
22.03.2025 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
15.12.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
24.11.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
24.03.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-5 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
09.09.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 5-0 HT 4-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL

Liverpool (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
1-3
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.55 xG 2.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
382 Passes 502
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 43
7 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) got the better of Liverpool (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 45% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 55%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.55 to 2.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Liverpool (K) and 3.00 for Arsenal (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Liverpool (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 10%, draw 18%, Arsenal (K) 72%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
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