Chelsea (K) 1-0 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.8pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.47/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.38
+58% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.0 Crosses 12.2
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.33 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
341 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2025 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
30.04.2025 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
24.11.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
18.05.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-6 HT 0-4 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
21.01.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
17.11.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
1-0
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.65 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
413 Passes 356
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) edged past Manchester United (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 53% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 47%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.65 to 1.13 — on chances, Manchester United (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.33 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Chelsea (K) 1-0 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 67%, draw 18%, Manchester United (K) 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
16 May 2026
15:00 Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Analysis →
15:00 London City (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Analysis →
15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Analysis →