Manchester United (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.1
Over 2.5
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.0
Crosses 28.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United (K)
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.38 xG 2.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
266 Passes 322
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
18.05.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-6 HT 0-4 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
21.01.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
17.11.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United (K)
0-1
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.78 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
258 Passes 353
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manchester United (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) edged past Manchester United (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester United (K) had 43% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 57%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.78 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Manchester United (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Manchester United (K) and 2.75 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Manchester United (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 28%, draw 29%, Chelsea (K) 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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30 Apr 2025
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