UD Ibiza 3-1 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.22/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.25
-12% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Cartagena
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.46 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
296 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.01.2026 Cartagena Cartagena 1-4 HT 1-2 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
29.01.2023 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 2-2 HT 1-2 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
16.10.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS2
12.02.2022 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 2-1 HT 1-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
10.10.2021 Cartagena Cartagena 5-1 HT 3-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
3-1
AWAY Cartagena
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza beat Cartagena 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UD Ibiza as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 49% of the ball to Cartagena's 51%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for UD Ibiza and 2.20 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Cartagena?

UD Ibiza 3-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 47%, draw 28%, Cartagena 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ibiza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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