Algeciras 0-2 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 36% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -5%
1.43/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.62
-2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hercules
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2025 Hercules Hercules 0-1 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
11.05.2025 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
11.10.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 2-3 HT 2-1 Hercules Hercules İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
0-2
AWAY Hercules
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules beat Algeciras 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Algeciras at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Algeciras had 66% of the ball to Hercules's 34%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Algeciras had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Algeciras and 1.33 for Hercules.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Hercules?

Algeciras 0-2 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 48%, draw 30%, Hercules 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Algeciras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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