Manningham United Blues 1-0 Moreland Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
14%
3.8
Away
57%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.41
No
55%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
54%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
14%
Draw
23%
-8.5pp
57%
Away Win
48%
+9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
67%
-21.9pp
55%
BTTS No
33%
+21.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manningham United Blues EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland Zebras EU Bookmakers 52%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.66
+28% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -35%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Manningham United Blues vs Moreland Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manningham United Blues squeezed past Moreland Zebras 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Moreland Zebras at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Manningham United Blues vs Moreland Zebras?

Manningham United Blues 1-0 Moreland Zebras in the AVPL1 on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manningham United Blues vs Moreland Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreland Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Manningham United Blues 29%, draw 14%, Moreland Zebras 57%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Moreland Zebras), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreland Zebras) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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