North Geelong Warriors 2-4 Langwarrin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 16 May 2026

North Geelong Warriors
2-4
Langwarrin
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
AVPL1 – 2026

North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
15%
3.94
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.9pp
15%
Draw
22%
-6.5pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.6pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

North Geelong Warriors v Langwarrin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Geelong Warriors EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Langwarrin EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Langwarrin got the better of North Geelong Warriors 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was North Geelong Warriors at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin?

North Geelong Warriors 2-4 Langwarrin in the AVPL1 on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Geelong Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split North Geelong Warriors 47%, draw 15%, Langwarrin 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (North Geelong Warriors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North Geelong Warriors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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