Melbourne Srbija 2-1 Brunswick City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
44%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.9pp
44%
Away Win
33%
+11.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Brunswick City EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Srbija
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Brunswick City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
24.05.2025 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija 3-0 HT 3-0 Brunswick City Brunswick City NPL2
14.02.2025 Brunswick City Brunswick City 1-1 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija NPL2
POST-MATCH Melbourne Srbija vs Brunswick City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Srbija nicked a narrow win over Brunswick City 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brunswick City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melbourne Srbija had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melbourne Srbija and 0.50 for Brunswick City.

What was the final score of Melbourne Srbija vs Brunswick City?

Melbourne Srbija 2-1 Brunswick City in the AVPL1 on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Srbija vs Brunswick City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brunswick City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Srbija 36%, draw 19%, Brunswick City 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brunswick City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brunswick City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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