Karabağ 3-0 İmişli FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
85%
1.16
Draw
11%
6.26
Away
4%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
64%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
1%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
1%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
84%
Home Win
82%
+2.9pp
11%
Draw
13%
-1.7pp
4%
Away Win
6%
-1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY İmişli FK EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.62/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.74
+24% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +25%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
485 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
2W-0D-0L
AWAY İmişli FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.02.2026 İmişli FK İmişli FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
31.10.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 İmişli FK İmişli FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs İmişli FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ swept aside İmişli FK 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 84%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karabağ and 0.00 for İmişli FK.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs İmişli FK?

Karabağ 3-0 İmişli FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs İmişli FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 84%, draw 11%, İmişli FK 4%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
16 May 2026
16:00 Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz Analysis →