Shamakhi 3-2 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.5
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
52%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
25%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
52%
Away Win
44%
+8.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.93/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.83
-17% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
16.02.2026 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
02.11.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
25.04.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
23.02.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
09.12.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-2 HT 1-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
29.09.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-2 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi nicked a narrow win over Turan Tovuz 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Turan Tovuz at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shamakhi and 1.50 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz?

Shamakhi 3-2 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 20%, draw 29%, Turan Tovuz 52%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
16 May 2026
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