Turan Tovuz 1-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.73/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.30
+43% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
09.12.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-2 HT 1-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
29.09.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-2 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
09.04.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
06.02.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
22.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERK
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz and Shamakhi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Turan Tovuz and 0.83 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Shamakhi?

Turan Tovuz 1-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 40%, draw 32%, Shamakhi 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Turan Tovuz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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