Shamakhi 0-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.06/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.88
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.12.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-2 HT 1-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
29.09.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-2 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
09.04.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
06.02.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
22.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERK
04.11.2022 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-3 HT 1-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz nicked a narrow win over Shamakhi 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Turan Tovuz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shamakhi and 1.50 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz?

Shamakhi 0-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 32%, draw 29%, Turan Tovuz 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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