Turan Tovuz 2-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.56/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.15
+25% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.04.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
23.02.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
09.12.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-2 HT 1-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
29.09.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-2 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
09.04.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
06.02.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz edged past Shamakhi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.00 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Shamakhi?

Turan Tovuz 2-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 44%, draw 33%, Shamakhi 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
2 Nov 2025
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