Al Dhafra 1-0 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
64%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
15%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
21%
-6.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
64%
Away Win
57%
+7.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 61%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.11/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.20
-24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +38%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
231 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
16.9 Crosses 22.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Wahda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.00 xG 1.76
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
260 Passes 500
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2025 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAECK
19.09.2025 Al Wahda Al Wahda 5-2 HT 3-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
17.03.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
25.10.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 4-2 HT 3-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
22.04.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
29.10.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Dhafra
1-0
AWAY Al Wahda
0.63 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
307 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra nicked a narrow win over Al Wahda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Wahda at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Dhafra had 49% of the ball to Al Wahda's 51%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.63 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Dhafra and 3.50 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda?

Al Dhafra 1-0 Al Wahda in the UAE - League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 15%, draw 21%, Al Wahda 64%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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