Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-1 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.8pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.65/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.90
+16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
441 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 79%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.9 Crosses 12.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.21 xG 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
487 Passes 253
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2026 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAECK
19.09.2025 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
31.01.2025 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-1 HT 0-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
24.08.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
05.05.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
02.12.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-4 HT 0-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
4-1
AWAY Baniyas SC
2.31 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
382 Passes 352
92% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi swept aside Baniyas SC 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Jazira Abu Dhabi as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 51% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 49%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 2.31 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 0.83 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Baniyas SC?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-1 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 63%, draw 17%, Baniyas SC 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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