Roskilde 0-1 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.85/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.27
+17% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Naestved
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2026 Naestved Naestved 0-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
02.04.2026 Roskilde Roskilde 2-3 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
01.08.2025 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
05.04.2021 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
29.09.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
16.07.2020 Naestved Naestved 0-2 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
0-1
AWAY Naestved
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved edged past Roskilde 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Roskilde at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Roskilde had 45% of the ball to Naestved's 55%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Roskilde and 1.17 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Naestved?

Roskilde 0-1 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 50%, draw 20%, Naestved 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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