Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-1 Mebrat Hayl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
40%
2.66
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
29%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.5pp
40%
Draw
34%
+5.9pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-8.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.8pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.06/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.38
+14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +131%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.01.2026 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl 0-0 HT 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
18.05.2025 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-0 HT 0-0 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
30.01.2025 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2-1
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mebrat Hayl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni nicked a narrow win over Mebrat Hayl 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 40% / 28%) promised a tight game; Welwalo Adigrat Uni found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 43% of the ball to Mebrat Hayl's 57%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Welwalo Adigrat Uni and 0.33 for Mebrat Hayl.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mebrat Hayl?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-1 Mebrat Hayl in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mebrat Hayl?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 32%, draw 40%, Mebrat Hayl 28%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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